The Age of Focus
The GRDI ranks the top 30 developing countries for retail investment, identifying markets that are not only attractive today, but also offer future potential.
Rank | Country | Score | Remarks | |
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1 | India | 71.7 |
With a growing middle class and rapidly increasing consumer spending, India overtakes China for the number one spot in this year’s GRDI. |
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2 | China | 70.4 |
China, long the Index leader, drops to second place as the market matures, but the country still leads the pack in other areas, most notably e-commerce. |
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3 | Malaysia | 60.9 |
Malaysia’s long-term prospects are strong, thanks to tourists, higher disposable income, and government investments. |
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4 | Turkey | 59.8 |
Despite serious challenges in the past year, Turkey moves up two places to 4th in this year’s Index. |
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5 |
United Arab Emirates |
59.4 |
The United Arab Emirates remains the most attractive market in the region, as growth opportunities expand beyond saturated Dubai. |
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6 | Vietnam | 56.1 |
Vietnam moves ahead and is emerging as an important market for retail expansion with its liberalized investment laws. |
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7 |
Morocco |
56.1 |
Morocco continues to rise in the rankings thanks to government efforts to attract foreign investments. |
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8 | Indonesia | 55.9 |
Indonesia has long been an elusive target for foreign retailers, but continued liberalization and infrastructure investments are attracting more foreign interest. |
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9 | Peru | 54.0 |
Peru continues to outperform other regional economies, the result of two decades of solid growth. |
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10 | Colombia | 53.6 |
Despite lower than expected GDP growth, Colombia has remained attractive for retailers. |
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11 |
Saudi Arabia |
53.6 |
Saudi Arabia is focusing on diversifying its economy away from oil, and the retail sector is in the spotlight. |
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12 |
Sri Lanka |
51.8 |
Sri Lanka retains its 12th position in the Index despite sluggish GDP growth due to reduced investment from China, lower remittances, and moribund export markets. |
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13 |
Dominican Republic |
51.7 |
Despite relatively low GDP per capita, trade-friendly policies make the Dominican Republic an attractive destination for investments. |
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14 | Algeria | 50.1 |
As oil revenues fall, Algeria’s economic circumstances remain difficult and consumer spending has dropped, but the country has risen four position in the Index. |
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15 | Jordan | 49.0 |
Jordan’s economy is gradually recovering from the aftershocks of regional conflicts. |
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16 | Kazakhstan | 48.4 |
Despite expected GDP growth through 2019, Kazakhstan falls 12 spots in this year’s rankings. |
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17 |
Côte d'Ivoire |
48.4 |
The combination of a underpenetrated market and GDP growth of 8 percent makes Côte d’Ivoire an attractive target for retailers that can manage the risks. |
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18 | Philippines | 46.8 |
The outsourcing industry is boosting incomes and propelling retail growth as the Philippines’ large retail market begins spreading beyond the big cities. |
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19 | Paraguay | 45.7 |
Paraguay’s GDP grew well above Latin American averages in 2016, driven by investment incentives and manufacturing. |
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20 | Romania | 45.6 |
With 20 million people, Romania is a natural expansion target for foreign retailers looking to enter Eastern Europe. |
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21 | Tanzania | 45.4 |
Making its Index debut, Tanzania has a fast-growing economy and an underdeveloped retail market. |
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22 | Russia | 43.2 |
The Russian economy continues its slow path to stabilization, but timelines remain unclear. |
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23 | Azerbaijan | 42.9 |
Azerbaijan’s GDP has begun to recover, but the economic outlook remains uncertain and dependent on oil prices. |
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24 | Tunisia | 42.7 |
Tunisia rises two positions amid small improvements across all dimensions of the Index. |
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25 | Kenya | 41.3 |
A growing population, increasing per capita incomes, urbanization, and a property boom make Kenya attractive for modern retail. |
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26 |
South Africa |
40.2 |
South Arica’s apparel and e-commerce sectors are growing rapidly, as local retailers seek new ways to grow. |
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27 | Nigeria | 39.9 |
Nigeria presents immediate challenges, yet its large population, growing middle class, and long-term potential keep it on the Index. |
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28 | Bolivia | 39.6 |
After a decade of five percent average GDP growth driven by natural gas and mining exports, Bolivia enters the Index for the first time this year. |
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29 | Brazil | 39.3 |
Brazil drops nine spots on the back of a contracting economy, political chaos, and record unemployment. |
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30 | Thailand | 37.8 |
Thailand re-enters the Index this year despite political and security challenges. |